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Latest Poll Shows Colbert Busch and Sanford Tied

Red Racing Horses released poll today.

A right-leaning poll released Thursday shows the First Congressional District race between Republican Mark Sanford and Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch to be tied.

Red Racing Horses shows both candidates at 46 percent with seven percent of the voters still undecided. The poll has a margin of error of five percent.

The poll was conducted between April 29 and May 1, which means some portions of it were after the candidates' first and only debate on Monday.

The pollsters contacted 5,000 people in SC1 and asked six questions about the race. According to Red Racing Horses respondents "that indicated a disinclination to vote on May 7 or did not complete the six-question survey were not counted as part of the results."

Sanford had a five percent edge among men, while Colbert Busch had a four percent lead among women. 

Colbert Busch fared the best in Beaufort County where she had a 52-39 lead. She also led in Charleston County by four percent. Sanford had leads of 20 and 13 percent in Berkeley and Dorchester County, respectively.

Red Racing Horses said, "The closeness of the race in the normally Republican district is almost certainly due exclusively to Republican ex-Gov. Mark Sanford's personal issues. Problematic for Sanford is the suggestion that some of his core voters, particularly Social Conservatives in the suburban Charleston area, may stay home Tuesday."

See the full report HERE.

Keep up with all of Patch's coverage of South Carolina politics by following us on Facebook HERE and Twitter HERE.

stanley seigler May 04, 2013 at 10:42 AM
@lady go, re: Union intimidation is real union may try to intimidate...at least in the opine of one CEO...btw wonder his employees are paid compared to to union members?? more importantly unions made the middle class and FYI CLIPs from WSJ (no liberal rag) http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/12/17/closer-look-at-union-vs-nonunion-workers-wages/ 'The median private-sector union member made $878 a week in 2011 compared to $716 for nonmembers, a nearly 23% premium...the added cost of dues doesn’t appear to negate it. 'Then there’s the question of benefits: 94% of private-sector union members have access to health-care benefits, versus 67% of nonunion members, according to BLS. And employers cover on average 83% of health insurance premiums for union members and their families versus 66% for nonunion members...[end clips]
Tony May 04, 2013 at 03:51 PM
Jamie, give me your vote on May 7th. Write-in Tony McCullough.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 03:56 PM
Lady, how about give me your vote as a write-in. I lean conservative, but will not follow any party line as will be representing all the people and must do what good for the people of the district, the state, and then the country in that order. Notice there wasn't what good for any party.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 04:22 PM
Yes Van, so write-in Tony McCullough on May 7th. Not beholding to no party; just the people of the district.
stanley seigler May 04, 2013 at 04:59 PM
@tony not sure if youre being faceious...but doubt you would receive 1% of the vote 7may...howerver if serious it could be the launch pad for a 2014 run...
Lady Godiva May 04, 2013 at 05:25 PM
Tony, good for you for running but I'm afraid your candidacy is a lost cause. Better off focusing your efforts on the next election.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 05:34 PM
Lost cause? Nope, if it make some people to begin thinking outside of the box we have grown accustomed too then each and every vote is worthwhile cause. We have been brought to vote for whatever party we support with no question ask. We turn a blind eye as to who the candidate may be and if they planning on doing anything for the district they are from or are they going to just support the party that got them to higher office.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 05:39 PM
It is the system that we grownup supporting that has broke this nation; not one party or the other. It just now all coming to a head that we must to begin to think outside the box or our nation going to continue to sink to a point where it may not never recover.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 05:48 PM
@Stanley, you may be right on that, but if I got 1% of the vote as a nobody write-in; then I would hope the new media would begin to ask questions as to why. Ask the hell who am I, what I stand for, and what i hope to gain by this. Hopeful it doesn't take 1% of the vote, but the media is a slow bunch; kinda like many of our voters. They keep sending the same people or same type of people who are beholding to a party and expect something to change. It will never happen!
Frank Mockery May 04, 2013 at 06:03 PM
Put some clothes on & get out of the direct sunlight as it appears that your cognizant capabilities have been severely compromised by heat stroke & too much FOX News ! Union workers raise the standard of living in the communities in which they live,it's the rich non-union GOP business owners who are lowering the standard of living for their exploited employees. Right to work means the right to abuse your employees with low wages,unsafe working conditions,no health benefits & no seniority or security for long term employees ! Unions built the middle class in America & they'll be in the forefront of rebuilding it in the years to come as the Republicans become even more marginalized politically nationwide ! Help make America a better place for everyone & look for the union label when you spend your hard earned money ! Don't forget that Walmart is the biggest welfare recipient in America by far as the low wages & poor benefits they provide forces their employees to turn to the government for a handout (public assistance,subsidized housing,health care,etc.) ! No wonder the Waltons are America's richest family & can offer lower prices than their competitors,they've managed to shift the burden of their employees welfare to the government (that means to American taxpayers) ! While the original Lady Godiva turned heads this imposter has her head so far up her posterior she'd need a glass belly button to see what's so obvious to anyone with a modicum of common sense & intelligence !
Lady Godiva May 04, 2013 at 06:56 PM
Frank, sounds like you are one of the dying breed of people who prefer to live in a state where Teamsters force employees to pay high union dues in a state with high taxes. Union dues and high taxes go hand in hand, you know. Pay those high dues or get fired along with those high state taxes. Oh joy. http://www.statebudgetsolutions.org/publications/detail/right-to-work-states-still-have-less-debt Charleston is a boom town largely because SC is a Right-to-Work state and Sanford brokered a deal for Boeing to be here. I don't hear any SC Boeing employees complaining about bad work conditions, etc. Neither is anyone around here complaining about the effects of the 6,000 new jobs Boeing has secured. Charleston is a boom town and being a Right-to-work state is big reason for it. Let's keep it that way. Vote Sanford.
Ajay Jain May 04, 2013 at 07:17 PM
Watch the ONLY debate between Elizabeth Colbert Busch and Mark Sanford and decide who to vote for! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VpPy5u7EszM
Frank Mockery May 04, 2013 at 07:26 PM
It's angry old white voters (like yourself undoubtably) that are a dying breed in America today ! Younger,smarter & more tolerant voters are all joining the Democratic Party & the latest demographics indicate that South Carolina will be a solidly Blue State within the next ten years ! With three more years of the Obama Administration & eight years of Hilliary Clinton's on the horizon the GOP party will never be competitive again in a national election ! The Boeing employees will set a standard for unionized workers here that will be emulated throughout South Carolina,a roadmap for future organizing efforts statewide ! Gay marriage,the right to choose,equal pay for women,immigration reform & legalized marijuana are all coming here soon & there is nothing you can do to impede progress anymore ! The GOP is on the wrong side (the losing side) of every issue & voters are abandoning the rigid Republican doctrine in droves on a daily basis ! You probably even believed those lying bastards at FOX News who said that Romney would win handily,making you as miserable,sad & pathetic as their prognostications !
reg May 04, 2013 at 07:45 PM
Loady Demigodiva, your source is funded by ALEC --- the organization of private companies that fund movements to take away worker rights through state govt laws that organization writes. The average union dues are $11.50 a week -- that's 1.3% of their income, for which they get 22.6% more in earnings. And you can't get fired for not belonging to the union; that's another fallacy (the law states that unions have to represent all workers in court, too, even those who are NOT union members at their facilities). Where do you get this "union dues and high taxes go hand in hand" garbage? Shoot, highest union membership is NY State (24.9 percent), and in that state, you pay no state income taxes unless you take over $500,000. Alaska has 23.5 percent of its work force in a union --- they have NO state income tax there. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_affiliation_by_U.S._state http://taxes.about.com/od/statetaxes/a/highest-state-income-tax-rates.htm Part of the reason they have such low (if any) state income tax in those union states is because the people there actually make enough that they can support the economy as consumers. And you call Charleston a boom town --- we have one of the highest unemployment rates in the country (still at 8%) -- *that* is booming, you say? and you say Sanford brough Boeing? That company *refused* SC in 2005, please recall. They're only here because of property it acquired when it bought another company that was already here.
reg May 04, 2013 at 07:50 PM
and that "1.3% of their income" I offered was based on the $878 weekly. as for your "don't hear any SC Boeing employees complaining" --- who built the facility at the airport that Boeing now uses? TRADE UNIONS. Who represents the workers who build there? LABOR UNION (Intl Assoc. of Machinists and Aeronautical Workers). How did we get those 6,000 jobs? BY THE HIGHER QUALITY OF WORK OF THOSE UNION MEMBERS. The ONLY job development we've in Boeing comes directly from/through those unions. The rest of the town is still at the sink or swim phase. That you post such opposite-of-the-truth information means one of two things: either you've been played sucker by the anti-union Marxists who don't want us to earn a decent living, or you think we're ignorant and don't know the truth. Give it up.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 09:40 PM
Frank & Lady, why don't you both give me your vote so I one from each side!
Tony May 04, 2013 at 09:42 PM
H E L L No! Both sides kept Eugene and I out of that debate.
Tony May 04, 2013 at 10:23 PM
Actually, the house and senate got Boeing here. While Sanford's administration may have reach out to them, but it was the house and senate that seal the deal. That because in our state the governor has little power to make any deals while the legislative branch the power to make laws and override line item veto. It even stronger when one party control both the house and senate.
stanley seigler May 04, 2013 at 11:10 PM
@tony like your attitude...stay clean, no trail hiking, behave and come on strong in 2014...good luck... re: Both sides kept Eugene and I out of that debate... we the people are damn tired of this crap...we want to know the positions of all who devote themselves to public service...want to serve, regardless of their motives...
Frank Mockery May 04, 2013 at 11:42 PM
Nobody (& I mean nobody) will waste their vote on Tony full of Baloney ! "Win if you can,lose if you must,but always cheat" (on your wife) - Bobby "The Brain" Heenan ! Before you check Mark Sanford's name on your ballot you might want to check to see if he's been sleeping with your wife (or plans to in the future) ! I'll bet many of you devout Christians wouldn't be so forgiving if he'd cheated on your own sister or slept with your own daughter,now would you ? Don't sacrifice your moral convictions for this egomanical lothario,mark your ballot for Elizabeth Colbert-Busch & tell Mark Sanford to go to hell (he certainly shouldn't need a compass for that trek) ! How could anyone regardless of their faith cast their ballot for a candidate who's cast his seed upon the ground & covets his neighbors ass ? We'll find out how many (or few) hypocrites are amongst us when they finish counting the votes Tuesday night !
Tony May 05, 2013 at 01:08 AM
Well Frank, you are no better than any hard core republican voter if you wouldn't "consider" a write-in candidate. This is the main reason why I'm am doing this; because as voters we will b i t c h because nothing ever changes in Columbia or Washington, but we keep on doing the same old thing, election after election. Thinking this is going to be the election that going to change everything. Guess what, that what your party " democrat or republican" want you to believe and what even worst some of you will give the party some your hard earn money. News alert; there is plenty of big money that will keep the two parties in business for years to come without your dollar. But will gladly take your dollar and use it to keep you blind as what need to be done to repair our country.
Brash Brazen May 05, 2013 at 05:21 AM
Tony,only your poor grammar,spelling & punctuation exceed your appalling lack of knowledge about every aspect of our political system. There are already plenty of illiterate,ignorant & ineffective back slappers like yourself in Congress nowadays & we're trying to end their political aspirations as quickly as we possibly can.
Tony May 05, 2013 at 06:01 AM
Well Brash, what in the fact the state legislative that were the one that seal the deal on Boeing. Large companies that are looking to locate in South Carolina knows to lobby the our house and senate for freebies in return opening a plant here. Yeah, my grammar and punctuation may be rough, but I would be equally verbally rough on any fall in step party line democrat or republican who are blocking ideas that would better our country situation. How about tell me how often we replace our state elected members to congress? Once are in, they tend to stay in until they move on to another position in government or secure a position with a political backer. In fact, what is the percentage of incumbents that get replace each election cycle? Backslapper, that I am not. Ignorant and ineffective, that not me either. I do believe there more ways to get things done and just because we alway done it this way don't make it the best. Our two parties began working toward deadlock about twenty years ago and roughly four years ago, finally made it. While not the smartest person, but you won't see me debating a poster. While people like me don't have fancy ways of talking to get around the truth, but when we tell it like it is, it not going to be pretty, but it will be straight. Oh, by the way. What is your solution?
Lady Godiva May 05, 2013 at 01:07 PM
Brash Brazen, you should learn to perfect your own punctuation before criticizing others. You forgot to add a space after your commas. You did that three times which reflects you're a serial grammatical offender.
stanley seigler May 05, 2013 at 01:11 PM
re: and that "1.3% of their income" I [reg] offered was based on the $878 weekly WSJ (no liberal rag) confirms the figs: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/12/17/closer-look-at-union-vs-nonunion-workers-wages/ 'The median private-sector union member made $878 a week in 2011 compared to $716 for nonmembers, a nearly 23% premium...the added cost of dues doesn’t appear to negate it [the 23% premium]' re: Pay those high dues or get fired along with those high state taxes. [lady g] GOPs are pretty good myth makers...repeat the lie often and enough people believe it to win elections...eg, in spite of 1929/2008 folks believe the myth, that the economy does better under the GOPs than the DEMs...
Brash Brazen May 05, 2013 at 01:45 PM
Please put your clothes back on or I won't be able to hold my breakfast down (you're obviously just as ugly on the inside too) !
Tony May 05, 2013 at 02:39 PM
@Brash is this the appalling lack of knowledge of the political system. Where you attack on personal levels when you don't like the ideas being put on the table? From my personal experience when you attack the idea then you put forth something better or suggest how to better the original idea. Not just attack without solution.
Brash Brazen May 05, 2013 at 03:10 PM
The solution to every problem facing America today is to elect more Democrats to office & to send every Republican politician scurrying back under the rocks that they crawled out from under !!!
reg May 05, 2013 at 03:21 PM
"send every Republican politician" ... there are NO Republican politicians anymore, just a gang of self-serving moneygrubbers who use that party name, and who are in no way conservative (fiscally or socially) nor moral. Take a look at the slew of South Carolina "republicans" who've been busted in recent years --- tax evasion, caught with prostitute, caught having taxpayers cover the costs of an international affair, child molestation, stalking of former girlfriend, possession of cocaine with intent to distribute .... you call that "moral" or "conservative"? Shoot, GOP's been dead, especially here in SC, for years.
Tony May 06, 2013 at 01:00 AM
That expland it all; Brash is just like Frank in his thinking that one party is the answer. That kind of thinking from both sides has gotten this country in one heck of a mess. We are deadlock at the federal level and that don't like it going to change anytime soon unless the voters begin to take charge to the point where politicians that been in office learn they answer to the people. How to start to get that change in place is by sending people who don't belong to either of the two major parties. That way those who are republicans or democrats that hold higher office will realize that just because you made it there, your employment status may change during a election cycle.

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